Comments by Mr. Susumu Adachi
IBM Japan originally came
to Japan in 1937. A key figure in making this happen was a man named Ando
Kaoru. With the objective of compiling an autobiography describing Ando
Kaoru's accomplishments over the past 50 years, I have been studying the
historical development of computers. As a consequence, I was aware or rather
made aware of the Y2K problem at a relatively early stage. I was asked
approximately two years ago to write a book about the Y2K problem. For
the past several years now, I have done nothing but contemplate and work
to inform people about the Y2K problem. However, things do not seem to
be getting any better. Personally, I do not care about my reputation as
long as it helps people realize the tremendous force of destruction that
Y2K will bring with it.
Although this group seems
to have discussed many facets of the Y2K problem, it is my opinion that
we do not have time left for such discussions. Rather, as is on your list,
it is time to implement contingency plans at the community level.
In comparison to the U.S.,
France and Germany, it is my feeling that Japan will receive the most damage.
It is necessary that Japan set up contingency plans. Essentially, what
is most necessary is food and energy supplies. These plans must be developed
and carried out immediately.
In order to make lay people
understand this problem. We must try to get the public to look at the big
picture and forget about what is going to happen to their refrigerator,
computer, air conditioner or microwave. Debating about the impact of the
Y2K on individual electronic devices minimizes the problem. Rather what
we should be talking about is the grander scale of things. We must make
people realize how much of our daily lives actually depend upon computers.
In countries such as Japan and the U.S., whether we are asleep or awake,
our lives rely upon computers for 24 hours a day. We must come to the realization
that we are in fact extremely dependent upon computers. Say for instance
if 3 percent of the computers go down as a result of the Y2K, the simple
calculation that our living standard will go down an equivalent 3 percent
is not accurate. In fact, as a result of the domino effect this 3 percent
can transform into a 300% deflation in our living standards. For example,
only a few percentage of the lunch, which we all enjoyed today, is in fact
made in Japan. The majority of it is made outside Japan. The manufacturing,
transportation and distribution of this majority are almost completely
supported by computers. Thus, even if a few percentage of computers fail
as a result of Y2K society will be impacted in numerous ways. If one
computer signal fails then the whole system goes out of order. Thus, it
is necessary for us to understand the degree to which our societies rely
on computers for our daily living. The cause of the Y2K problem is
embarrassingly simple. As far as this problem is concerned, I cannot help
but feel that humans lack 'brain' and foresight.
|